Keyword: «probable scenario»
The article is devoted to the methodological and applied features of substantiating the plan for anti-crisis risk management in the crop production industry of agricultural organizations. The methodical sequence of the analysis of industrial risks on the basis of economic and statistical models of control parameters is considered. Applied examples of such an analysis are made according to the data of an agricultural organization. In terms of anti-crisis management of crop production, there should be limiting and target management parameters. It is recommended to justify the values of such parameters in future periods of time on the basis of an analysis of probable situations using economic and statistical models.