Keyword: «probability»

The article identifies three types of contacting subjects of the study: positive, neutral, negative. The author shows their probabilistic character and the possibility of dividing them into clusters (disjoint sets). The classification of sociological indices is given. A method for describing and calculating sociological indices in fuzzy conditions is worked out, and examples of various fuzzy sociological indices calculation are considered.

This article considers foreign methods of assessing the probability of bankruptcy and estimates their predictive opportunities. This problem is quite relevant in today's unstable market conditions. Calculation of probability of bankruptcy of the enterprise on the basis of the offered techniques is carried out that allows to compare them.

the article considers a stochastic model of the profitability of investments in startups while diversifying through investments in several projects. The model allows you to optimally choose the number of projects for investment according to the criterion of obtaining a given profit with the required probability.

The main principle in the work of any modern enterprise or company in the conditions of modern market relations is the desire to obtain as much profit as possible. It is limited to the possibility of incurring losses and expenses. In other words, the concept of risk is already emerging.

The article is devoted to the methodological and applied features of substantiating the plan for anti-crisis risk management in the crop production industry of agricultural organizations. The methodical sequence of the analysis of industrial risks on the basis of economic and statistical models of control parameters is considered. Applied examples of such an analysis are made according to the data of an agricultural organization. In terms of anti-crisis management of crop production, there should be limiting and target management parameters. It is recommended to justify the values of such parameters in future periods of time on the basis of an analysis of probable situations using economic and statistical models.